Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.251848 0.291304 0.336266 0.391581 0.458187 0.536289 0.635514
2025-09-21 0.191985 0.242796 0.307369 0.396706 0.519101 0.683905 0.927834
2025-09-28 0.155954 0.209960 0.284136 0.396040 0.565250 0.819567 1.247042
2025-10-05 0.135701 0.192044 0.274450 0.408035 0.627794 0.991736 1.679291
2025-10-12 0.120233 0.177259 0.265120 0.416488 0.684398 1.168235 2.186757
2025-10-19 0.108079 0.165010 0.256753 0.423500 0.738671 1.355175 2.794066
2025-10-26 0.099365 0.156606 0.252729 0.436381 0.805901 1.587235 3.610740
2025-11-02 0.090782 0.147021 0.244877 0.440190 0.855687 1.798865 4.492909
2025-11-09 0.083094 0.137846 0.236175 0.440329 0.897419 2.006396 5.488571
2025-11-16 0.076068 0.128903 0.226497 0.436452 0.929024 2.200571 6.573214
2025-11-23 0.069620 0.120218 0.216052 0.428919 0.950079 2.375261 7.721151
2025-11-30 0.066071 0.116516 0.214789 0.441153 1.023286 2.726771 9.825768
2025-12-07 0.060799 0.109020 0.205090 0.432940 1.042858 2.930980 11.541963
2025-12-14 0.057172 0.104382 0.200760 0.436804 1.097483 3.277522 14.325373
2025-12-21 0.053524 0.099304 0.194826 0.435666 1.137890 3.597216 17.393884
2025-12-28 0.051345 0.096995 0.194619 0.449038 1.226702 4.148136 22.700705
2026-01-04 0.049071 0.094236 0.193030 0.458505 1.306739 4.715021 29.206257
2026-01-11 0.046886 0.091437 0.190981 0.466372 1.384652 5.326512 37.461733
2026-01-18 0.045269 0.089707 0.191228 0.480840 1.491587 6.154868 50.038474
2026-01-25 0.043199 0.086763 0.188170 0.485118 1.563060 6.862592 63.763025
2026-02-01 0.041083 0.083519 0.183985 0.485276 1.619385 7.537993 79.826617
2026-02-08 0.038919 0.079972 0.178641 0.480919 1.656714 8.139489 97.704206
2026-02-15 0.036740 0.076210 0.172338 0.472457 1.674659 8.642692 116.771552